Thursday07 November 2024
manipulyator.in.ua

Avoiding unnecessary provocation of others is a significant contribution to our defense; we still face unpopular decisions ahead.

The information landscape has become saturated with pessimism and apocalyptic sentiments. In light of this, analyst Alexey Kopytko urges against succumbing to this trend, as we are currently in a period of uncertainty where it is still too early to draw conclusions…
Не раздражайте людей без причины — это уже значительный вклад в защиту. Нам предстоят нелегкие решения.

Therefore.

1. We are currently in a period (which is essentially always the case, but is especially true now) when it is advisable to read/listen to specialists regarding the war. That's why I am not writing about the war, but rather reading Konstantin Mashovets and I recommend him to everyone. In my opinion, Kostya has the best reviews among those that can be publicly shared.

Additionally, it is important to support the army as much as possible. There can be no pauses in this regard. Everyone already has someone who is fighting or recovering, and there are established forms of support. It is crucial to practice these methods now.

Everyone who wants to see can observe how difficult it is on various fronts. The war hasn't gone away, although due to another round of routine, it is fading into the background.

2. There is currently little sense in deeply analyzing political dynamics. One can make predictions and then thoroughly justify why they did (or did not) come to pass.

The U.S. elections are approaching, and the results will either eliminate one spectrum of scenarios or bring another spectrum to the forefront.

There is much discussion about how Trump has leveled the playing field and is ahead of Harris. However, there are still ten days left in the campaign's climax. A leader in a 100-meter dash could have a fly land in their eye, which could affect the outcome.

I maintain the opinion that the Russian Federation is aiming for a tie in results and division, potentially leading to one participant not recognizing the election outcomes. Consequently, in the next ten days, the Kremlin may implement some pre-prepared strategies based on its understanding of their impact on the result.

The position and statements from the U.S. in recent weeks have left many in Ukraine puzzled, to say the least. It seems that any significant decisions regarding Ukraine are seen in the White House as untimely in the context of the electoral race. This provokes quite obvious emotions, but right now, emotions are a poor advisor and helper.

сша, выборы, трамп, харрис

3. The current sequence of events is marked by a certain half-heartedness, if that can be said.

BRICS went better than we would have liked, but worse than expected in the Kremlin. The complete transformation of the UN Secretary-General into Putin's lapdog is off-putting but does not compensate for the lack of enthusiasm from key countries in Moscow's interests.

Before the summit, the Kremlin has not solved any tasks (Kursk, the scaling back of our defense near Oskol, reaching the Dnipropetrovsk border). I am confident that this has partly influenced the atmosphere.

Although BRICS is a serious platform in terms of the Chinese concept of a "multipolar world," where formally everyone is equal and there is no hegemon (-s).

The situation in Moldova was worse than anticipated, but it's not over yet.

In Georgia, everything is on a low start. Polls are creating inflated expectations for the opposition, while the actual outcome may differ significantly, leading to escalation.

In Ukraine, non-military issues have suddenly taken center stage, involving prosecutors with disabilities, various cash kings from TCC, and similar topics. There have been an increase in strange statements and actions from politicians.

Overall, there is much that is fleeting, illusory, and distracting from the essence.

4. The essence is that before the U.S. elections, it is possible to avoid the worst (and Ukraine is managing this quite well), but after them, nothing will come to an end. Instead, challenges that do not exist now may fully manifest. Specifically – the challenges of preparing for forced but extremely unpopular decisions.

This pertains not only to potential ceasefire conditions. It also concerns the inevitable reduction of infrastructure (cultural, social, educational, etc.) due to a lack of people and funds.

Therefore, I personally spend significantly more time inventorying internal risks that directly impact defense capabilities. It is particularly frustrating that some of these risks are provoked by untimely surges of activity, such as banning the Russian language during breaks. This leads to a growing sense of irritation.

Avoiding irritating people without reason and out of foolishness is already a significant contribution to defense. This applies to all participants in the political process, including the media.

The author expresses a personal opinion that may not align with the editorial position. The responsibility for the published data in the "Opinions" section lies with the author.

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