Russian forces are strengthening in Belogorovka, Luhansk region, raising concerns about a potential new offensive, according to an analyst (maps included).

The Kremlin is attempting to fully occupy the Luhansk region in order to later boast to the population about its "successes" in the Russian-Ukrainian war. To achieve this, the Russian Armed Forces may intensify attacks on the village of Bilohorivka, which has been held by Ukrainian Armed Forces for 2.5 years. Military-political analyst Alexander Kovalenko from the "Information Resistance" project wrote about the possible direction of the Russian offensive on his Telegram channel.

Kovalenko reported that the Russian command has redeployed two fresh units to Bilohorivka in the Luhansk region — the 127th and 123rd separate motorized brigades of the 3rd Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces. According to his information, the Russian Armed Forces have intensified their assault actions in the settlement. The situation in this section of the front is expected to "maximally catalyze" in the near future, the analyst suggested. The reason for this situation is the Russians' attempts to fully occupy at least one Ukrainian region, in this case — Luhansk. This escalation is likely connected to potential peace negotiations and to allow President Vladimir Putin to boast about it during his speech on May 9, as stated in the note.

"Bilohorivka has been defending itself since October 2022, grinding down the occupiers in a meat grinder for two and a half years. The [Kremlin's] goal is not so much tactical as it is political," Kovalenko wrote.

Russian Offensive — Situation in Luhansk Region

The analyst described the situation in Bilohorivka, Luhansk region. The note indicates that Russian troops allegedly control part of the village: near the Water Supply Station, and along October and May 1st Streets (eastern outskirts, moving from north to south). The main possible directions of Russian Armed Forces attacks are towards May 1st-Sivolapogo (center) and Water Supply (south), Kovalenko noted.

Kovalenko reminded that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have held positions in this section for 2.5 years, and this situation is embarrassing for the Russian Armed Forces. The analyst concluded that he expects an intensification of hostilities in this area of the front.

Meanwhile, on the DeepState project map, we see that as of February 3, analysts have not indicated partial occupation of Bilohorivka.

The Russian Ministry of Defense does not forget to mention Bilohorivka in its reports, a settlement where 900 Ukrainians lived before the war, and now there are none. A search in the Telegram channel of the Russian command shows that it was mentioned eight times in January 2025. On the map of Ukrainian analysts, three regions in the Luhansk area can be found that the Russians have been unable to occupy during the three years of war.

What the Ukrainian Armed Forces Say About Events in Luhansk Region

The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces reported on the situation in the front sectors near Bilohorivka as of 18:00 on February 3 reported. In particular, in the Lyman direction, which is to the north, there were two attacks by the Russian Armed Forces. South of Siversk, there was shelling with guided missiles. The hottest area is around Pokrovsk: 25 assaults were counted (half of all 53 on a thousand-kilometer front).

We remind you that on January 31, Reuters identified two probable directions for a new Russian offensive that may begin by the end of February.