ATO veteran Yevhen Dykyi believes that the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) will be capable of launching an offensive and winning the war against Russia if the issues surrounding mobilization are organized. He shared this in a comment for "24 Channel."
According to him, the Russian army is gradually exhausting its reserves for conducting military operations. In particular, the occupiers have enough armored vehicles and artillery for about a year, but their manpower indicators are significantly better than can be utilized.
Dykyi asserts that a successful offensive by the AFU is possible provided there are adequate forces and reserves, which he currently does not observe due to mobilization issues. He adds that after changes to the mobilization law, there was an increase, and over three months, significantly more people were recruited than in the previous one and a half years. However, there is now again a decline.
"If the situation remains as it is, then what kind of counteroffensive are we talking about? Ukraine lacked the reserves to hold Uglidar. The fighters of the 72nd Brigade did everything possible and even more. The question is not whether this brigade failed to do something, but why another brigade—fresh, not worn down by several years of war—did not appear to support them. If that were the case, Uglidar would still be ours. However, that brigade does not exist because it was not formed, due to ongoing sabotage of mobilization," Dykyi stated.
In his opinion, if the mobilization issue in Ukraine is resolved within the next few months, the following year could provide an opportunity for a successful offensive by the Defense Forces.
"There are all objective prerequisites for victory in 2025, provided that a sufficient number of people are mobilized," Dykyi said, adding that if the issue of troop replenishment is not resolved, the discussion will not be about "Ukrainian offensives," but rather about the possibility of "at least holding the Russians along the Dnieper."
Earlier, we reported that experts noted the "stagnation" of mobilization and identified the reasons for the decrease in the number of recruits into the Defense Forces.